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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brook Lopez has successfully made a whopping 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 mark last season.
  • In terms of offense, the Bucks's excellent 118.1 points per game as the away team measures as the 6th-most in the NBA this year.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
  • Brook Lopez ought to see an increase in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one; they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (13.3).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
  • In contrast to last season's 83.2% mark, Brook Lopez's foul-shot ability has regressed this season to 61.1%.

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