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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bucks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have shot 68.2% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, creating a good matchup.
  • The 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 50.8% clip, Brook Lopez's scoring efficiency has declined this season to 28.6%.
  • Brook Lopez has made a lowly 14.7% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly lower than his 33.6 rate last season.
  • Brook Lopez has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
  • The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Brook Lopez has attempted just 1.2 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 mark last year.

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