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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
  • The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • At home, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Raptors is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.5 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 50.8% clip, Brook Lopez's shooting prowess has regressed this season to 25.7%.
  • Brook Lopez has converted a measly 10.0% of his 3-point shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 33.6 mark last season.
  • Brook Lopez has been on the court for just 25.8 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 30.3 minutes per game last year.
  • Brook Lopez has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
  • This year, the other team's starting Cs have shot 18.8% on 3-pointers (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, creating a difficult matchup.

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