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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez places in the 87th percentile for three-point efficiency with a a very good 49.3% rate this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a strong one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (19.5).
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • This year when they are away from home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
  • The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
  • Brook Lopez has successfully made just 0.4 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.9 rate last year.

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