Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 80th percentile for field goal ability on his home court with a an outstanding 52.1% rate since the start of last season.
With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 119.2 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).
Brook Lopez is expected to see a spike in output across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 4.8 buckets per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 4th-slowest pace road offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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