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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has successfully made 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Brook Lopez has converted a whopping 1.7 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last year.

Brook Lopez has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.3).

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games with just 16.8 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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