Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to three-pointers.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has averaged 30.4% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one for three-point shots; when Jokic is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have tallied a massive 0.8 3-pointers per game (83rd percentile).
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez registers in the 80th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked three-pointers when playing away from home, putting up a massive 3.1 per game this year.
Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).