Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has converted a whopping 1.7 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last year.
Brook Lopez has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (2.6).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

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