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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Assists
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+178/-238).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brook Lopez has averaged 29.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Brook Lopez will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

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