Brice Sensabaugh Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Brice Sensabaugh

NBA · Player Props

Brice Sensabaugh

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 1:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Brice Sensabaugh Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 4.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Brice Sensabaugh has averaged 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Brice Sensabaugh has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (23rd percentile).
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.6%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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