Brandon Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2026

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Brandon Williams

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Williams

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 27, 2026

Updated Feb 28, 2026 1:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Williams has logged 17.6 points per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 4.0 higher than he's logged over the course of the year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled 17.0 points per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a tough matchup for offensive output.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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