Brandon Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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Brandon Williams

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Williams

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 29, 2026 1:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-127/-102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Williams has tallied 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 49.8% field goal rate ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shots from the field (lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league while at home with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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