Brandon Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2025

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Brandon Williams

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Williams

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 17, 2025

Updated Nov 18, 2025 12:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Williams has put up 14.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (39.8%).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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