Brandon Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2025

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Brandon Williams

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Williams

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 16, 2025

Updated Nov 17, 2025 12:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Williams has registered 14.6 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.2 higher than he's registered over the course of the year at home.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should boost possessions for the Mavericks.
With respect to drawing fouls, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 28.4 foul shots per game ranks 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.8%).
The Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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