Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2026

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 29, 2026

Updated Jan 30, 2026 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has logged 24.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's logged over the course of the season.
The Hornets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied 0.8 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a tough matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line recently: worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road, tallying a mere 15.8 free throws per game.

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