Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 14.6 rate, Brandon Miller's field goal attempts have surged this season to 18.2 per game.
Compared to last season's 6.7 rate, Brandon Miller's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 10.9 per game.
Brandon Miller has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Brandon Miller will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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