Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 10:05 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 24.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Brandon Miller has attempted 11.1 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.7 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Hornets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Brandon Miller will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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