Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 20.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Brandon Miller has sunk 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Brandon Miller has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, resulting in a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Hornets rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Charlotte Hornets will likely see a decline in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
The matchup vs. New York may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the NBA).