Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 11.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Brandon Miller has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Charlotte Hornets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has successfully made a lowly 37.4% of his field goals this season, quite a bit lower than his 44.0 rate last season.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a challenging matchup.
The 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hornets.
Brandon Miller will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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