Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 16.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Brandon Miller has attempted 7.5 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Brandon Miller has tallied 31.0 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Hornets rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road in regard to three-point attempts.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) against the Hawks, creating a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Brandon Miller measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Brandon Miller will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all stat categories.