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Brandon Miller

Brandon Miller Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Miller has attempted 16.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Brandon Miller has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Brandon Miller has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (21st-most in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Brandon Miller stands to see a rise in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Brandon Miller measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a hard matchup.

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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