Brandon Miller Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has played 30.6 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 11thbest in in the NBA on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Brandon Miller measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Hornets.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (saving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).
Brandon Miller will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production across the board.

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