Brandon Miller Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has averaged 31.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 10th-speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).
The Hornets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

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