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Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-163/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -163.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Ingram has scored 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram places in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.4 minutes per game this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league while playing away from home this year has been the Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Raptors are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.

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