Brandon Ingram Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Brandon Ingram

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Ingram

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Ingram has posted 22.0 points per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Brandon Ingram has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 2.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making this a challenging matchup.
While playing away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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