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Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Ingram has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile.

The matchup against the Bucks is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 26th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.2).

The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandon Ingram has compiled a mere 21.2 points per game this season, significantly less than his 24.8 points per game last season.

The Pelicans rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram has made just 4.1 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 5.4 mark last year.

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