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Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Brandon Ingram has converted 8.3 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.Brandon Ingram has successfully made 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year away from his home court.Brandon Ingram has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.Brandon Ingram has attempted 4.8 free throws per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With respect to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a difficult matchup.The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
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