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Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Brandon Ingram slots into the 96th percentile for shots away from his home court, tallying 18.6 per game since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram places in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.7 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandon Ingram has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

In terms of scoring, the Pelicans's unimpressive 108.3 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the league this year.

Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have notched 11.4 points per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making this a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.

Brandon Ingram stands to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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