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Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Brandon Ingram Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Ingram has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a favorable one for 3-pointers; at home, the other team have put up the highest three rate in the NBA this year (31.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandon Ingram has attempted a lowly 15.9 shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 18.1 rate last season.

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 25.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games while on his home court (4th-least in the NBA).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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