Brandon Clarke Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Brandon Clarke

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Clarke

F-G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Clarke Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Clarke has made 5.5 field goals per game over the last 6 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Brandon Clarke has sunk 16.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 6 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for threes; when Sabonis is on his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made just 27.9% of their shots from downtown (14th percentile).
The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 10th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has brought down 10.0 offensive boards per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
The matchup with Domantas Sabonis as it relates to getting to the charity stripe measures in the 14th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.
Brandon Clarke figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

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