Brandon Clarke Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Brandon Clarke

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Clarke

F-G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Clarke Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Clarke has successfully made 77.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Dereck Lively II is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 12.4 field goals per game (96th percentile).
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Brandon Clarke ranks in the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness away from home with a bad 6.3% rate this year.
In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
Brandon Clarke figures to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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