Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

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Brandin Podziemski

NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandin Podziemski has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's made in all games this season.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Brandin Podziemski has attempted and missed 5.5 field goal attempts per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league in this category: 76th percentile for misses .
As it relates to offense, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on threes (worst in the NBA) against the Rockets, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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