Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Brandin Podziemski

NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Brandin Podziemski has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 35.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Brandin Podziemski stands to suffer a reduction in output across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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