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Brandin Podziemski

Brandin Podziemski Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 9.4 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Brandin Podziemski has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's played over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandin Podziemski has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 45.3% field goal percentage as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

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