Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 3.8 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders in this category over this stretch: 77th percentile.
Bradley Beal has tallied 33.3 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Bradley Beal stands to see a rise in performance in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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