Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has compiled 3.9 defensive rebounds per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Bradley Beal has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
Bradley Beal will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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