Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has totaled 1.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.
Bradley Beal has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Phoenix Suns will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks (lessening possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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