Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 4.0 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 82nd percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal places in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The 10th-quickest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
Bradley Beal will likely get a boost in efficiency for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 5thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nets (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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