Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has compiled 1.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 86th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.7 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
On the road, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal ought to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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