Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has posted 4.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's posted overall this year on the road.
Bradley Beal has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.
While playing at home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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