Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has tallied 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch.
Bradley Beal has tallied 35.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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