Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 81st percentile.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Wizards.
When playing on the road, the Pistons have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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