Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 9:51 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has put up 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric recently.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Playing at home, the 76ers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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