Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this standard recently: 82nd percentile.
Bradley Beal has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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