Bradley Beal Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has posted 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games: 82nd percentile.
Bradley Beal has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bradley Beal will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should decrease possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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