Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 7:29 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made overall this year away from home.
Bradley Beal has tallied 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The Suns check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Suns have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.
Bradley Beal will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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