Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 87th percentile for shots converted, totaling a massive 6.3 per game this year.
Bradley Beal has attempted 6.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.5 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The 6th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, struggling to draw fouls.
Bradley Beal will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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