Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 25, 2024

Updated Oct 26, 2024 1:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has successfully made 7.1 baskets per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bradley Beal has successfully made 41.6% of his shots from downtown away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Bradley Beal has played 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile.
With respect to offense, the Phoenix Suns's excellent 115.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 6th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a good matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Suns check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Bradley Beal ought to experience a decrease in production across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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