Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 53.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 11.6% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Bradley Beal has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3).
The 5th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Bradley Beal has converted a measly 2.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.8 rate last year.