Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 54.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 13.0% more than he's converted from three overall this season at home.
Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game on his home court this year.
As it relates to offense, the Suns's remarkable 116.0 points per game rates 6th-most in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 threes per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Suns have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 8.9 rate, Bradley Beal's shots from the field made have dropped this season to 6.8 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league while at home with just 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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